The North Carolina football team has already exceeded expectations after starting the season 2-0 with wins over South Carolina and Miami. However, it's a long season, and the Tar Heels still have 10 games remaining before a potential postseason bowl, which is suddenly in play.
Here are the best and worst case scenarios for the rest of UNC's season that could unfold over the next couple of months.
Worst case
At this point, there are reasonable expectations, which are not far-fetched, that UNC could make a bowl game. But it is all too present in North Carolina fans’ memory that a string of bad luck with injuries or suspensions could throw this season off the rails in a hurry.
Despite a 2-0 record, UNC needed fourth-quarter heroics from true first-year quarterback Sam Howell to earn comeback wins in both games. It would be a tall task to ask Howell to respond to late-game pressure every game.
The Tar Heels have at least one likely victory against FCS foe Mercer. The rest of the schedule, though, could go either way.
In this disaster scenario, North Carolina would be hamstrung by injuries, go 3-9 and drop games to the likes of Georgia Tech, Appalachian State and Duke.
The Yellow Jackets are still transitioning out of the triple option offense, and have not impressed thus far with a blowout loss at Clemson and an unconvincing 14-10 victory over South Florida.
Appalachian State gave up 41 points to UNC-Charlotte in its last game, and Duke lost 42-3 to Alabama to open its season.