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The Daily Tar Heel
View from the Hill

The StatNat Stat Breakdown: Republicans down, but Democrats not up

This is the first installment of what will hopefully be a weekly feature on View From the Hill, where polls or statistics are analyzed.

Two polls from Public Policy Polling show trends that could be indicative of next year’s midterm election in North Carolina.

One study released by the Democratic-leaning polling firm showed Gov. Pat McCrory’s approval rating dip to 53 percent, which the firm attributed to the recent news of raising the pay of former campaign staffers. But the study also showed that only 33 percent of those polled thought McCrory was in control of state government and 44 percent thought the General Assembly was in control.

The statistic could prove problematic for N.C. Speaker of the House Thom Tillis, R-Mecklenburg, who is running for the Republican Nomination for U.S. Senate against incumbent Sen. Kay Hagan, D-NC. The poll showed only 24 percent approve of the N.C. General Assembly. Meanwhile, another poll showed Hagan beating Tillis by 15 points. Hagan also is leading other potential opponents.

But Democrats should not think these stats will lead to victory. The same study released Thursday showed 55 percent view Republicans in the legislature unfavorably, but 47 percent also view Democrats in the legislature unfavorably.

Similarly, while Hagan may have a decisive lead over her potential Republican opponents, she only has a 43 percent approval rating and a 39 percent disapproval rating.

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