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Terror looms in tight election

Debates highlight hopefuls' positions

The presidential election in the United States will be watched closely, not only by Americans but also by the world, because the war in Iraq and the war on terrorism hang in the balance - and voters know it.

Polls consistently show that Iraq remains at the forefront of voters' minds. And in two of the three presidential debates, Sen. John Kerry and President Bush addressed their differing positions on foreign policy.

Though both candidates assert that American troops cannot leave Iraq until the nation is stable, Bush and Kerry differ on how to bring stability and democracy to Iraq.

Kerry's major departure from the Bush doctrine is his belief that the war and reconstruction should have been approached multilaterally. But such a move could prove challenging regardless of who is president.

"Bringing democracy to Iraq will be exceptionally difficult," said Dan Byman, a senior fellow at the Saban Center for Middle East Policy at the Brookings Institution. "Few allies are going to want to go in because the situation seems so poor. (Kerry) might be able to increase allied participation by making major concessions in who's running the show."

Other experts say Kerry will be in a better position to bring reluctant allies on board than Bush.

"Kerry conceives of the war on terrorism as an ongoing effort that will require lots of cooperation with lots of other allies. ... That means lots of intelligence sharing and lots of police work," said Michael Tierney, professor of government at the College of William and Mary.

In contrast, he said, "The Bush administration has shown they are willing to use military force even in situations where it's not obvious."

In debates, Kerry and his running mate, N.C. Sen. John Edwards, stressed the human and fiscal costs the country has incurred in Iraq and said that they'd spread the burden.

The Bush administration has remained skeptical that Kerry can do this and has repeatedly lambasted him for discounting the presence of allies, such as England and Poland.

Bush and Kerry also vary significantly in how they talk about the wars in Iraq and on terrorism. The president links the two, while the senator seeks to separate them.

Tierney said that this is more likely a political move.

"I think President Bush needs to link Iraq with terrorism, and public opinion polls show he's been pretty successful doing that," he said.

"On the other hand, Kerry reads the same polls. And he knows if you can isolate Iraq, then Americans increasingly believe that the war in Iraq was a failure."

An ongoing Pew Research Center study has shown a sharp decline in the number of people who believe the efforts have been beneficial.

In April 2003, 63 percent of respondents said the war in Iraq was helping the war on terrorism, while 22 percent said it hurt. Recent data from August show those figures much closer now, with 45 and 44 percent, respectively.

"Kerry is saying we've got to keep focused on the terrorists and not get sidelined by wars against rogue regimes we don't particularly like," said Betty Glad, a professor of political science at the University of South Carolina.

"The president has said, in a sense, we're fighting terrorism everywhere and in every corner of the Earth. And we're fighting rogue regimes that might have weapons of mass destruction and might give them to terrorists."

Contact the State & National Editor at stntdesk@unc.edu.

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