In 10 years, UNC-system officials say, North Carolina could be facing a shortage of 12,000 public school teachers every year.
And because of this problem, leaders are pointing to the system's mission - to serve the residents of the state - and taking steps to find a remedy.
Increasing the retention rate and the supply of teachers in public schools long has been one of the goals of system leaders, including President Molly Broad and the Board of Governors. Now, Broad has projected that with the system's help, the shortage could be remedied in the next 10 years.
A report she prepared for the BOG's Friday meeting states that more than 11,000 additional teachers are needed each year, a number that is expected to grow to 12,000 in the next decade.
The report also states that more than 40 percent of teachers drop out of the public school system in their first five years on the job.
Because of these problems, which are exacerbated in the state's poorer, more rural counties, the Board of Governors has been charged with redoubling its efforts to increase enrollment in its own education programs.
"If you look at our rural counties, you see turnover rates that get up to 40 and 45 percent," said J.B. Buxton, an education adviser to Gov. Mike Easley. "We are losing one out of three teachers a year."
In the past year, UNC-system campuses have graduated about 2,300 teachers. Broad's plan aims to increase that number to 5,000 teachers during the next 10 years, an increase of 117 percent.
If retention improves by just 5 percentage points during this period, an additional 4,600 teachers would be kept in the state's classrooms.